W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
ECM
2 - 0
CON
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
CON
0 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
STA
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
ECM
2 - 0
CAL
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
3 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
CAL
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 0
CAL
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |