W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
PUM
2 - 1
CON
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
COM
0 - 3
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CON
2 - 2
PUM
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
PAU
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 2
UPT
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TBU
0 - 1
CAL
34%
25%
42%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
ANN
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
CAL
7 - 2
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |