W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
CON
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
UPT
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2009 |
UPT
0 - 1
CAL
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 2
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
CAL
5 - 3
TBU
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |