W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
TBU
75%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
UPT
1 - 1
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
CON
6 - 2
ANN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
ANN
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
TBU
1 - 1
CAL
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 1
JOE
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |