W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CON
3 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 3
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
TBU
0 - 3
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 3
NOR
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 1
JOE
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 3
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
CAL
3 - 1
POL
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |