W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
CAL
0 - 0
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2007 |
UPT
0 - 2
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2007 |
TBU
1 - 2
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
CON
3 - 1
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
ANN
2 - 2
CON
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
CAL
0 - 0
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2007 |
TBU
2 - 4
CAL
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2007 |
CAL
4 - 0
POL
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
CAL
3 - 2
DEF
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
JOE
0 - 1
CAL
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |