W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
TBU
0 - 3
CON
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
STK
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CON
3 - 0
UPT
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 2
CON
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -3 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
CON
1 - 2
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 3
NOR
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
JOE
0 - 1
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
JOE
1 - 0
CAL
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
CAL
4 - 3
LAI
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 14 | 47 | 0 |