W Connection vs Antigua Barracuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 0
CAL
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 0
ECM
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
STA
0 - 3
CON
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
CEN
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua Barracuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
3 - 1
ANT
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 0
ANT
65%
21%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 0
ANT
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
ANT
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 1
RIC
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |