VVOG vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
75.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HOE
0 - 0
VVO
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VVO
0 - 1
HAR
8%
16%
76%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
VVO
0 - 2
DEM
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
GVV
2 - 0
VVO
68%
17%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VVO
1 - 1
HOE
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STA
3 - 1
GOE
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GOE
1 - 5
DVS
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GOE
1 - 0
SPO
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GOE
1 - 2
VVS
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ONS
1 - 1
GOE
17%
18%
65%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |