VVOG vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 4
VVO
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VVO
2 - 1
ASV
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BEQ
1 - 5
VVO
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AVW
1 - 4
VVO
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
VVO
0 - 0
BEN
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GOA
2 - 3
DZC
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DOS
2 - 1
GOA
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
GOA
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOS
2 - 2
GOA
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GOA
1 - 0
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |