VVOG vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
14º
4º
68
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SDV
1 - 2
VVO
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VVO
0 - 2
VVS
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ROH
1 - 4
VVO
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VVO
6 - 1
BER
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DET
2 - 4
VVO
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EXC
4 - 3
LON
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUI
0 - 2
EXC
13%
21%
67%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEI
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PEL
3 - 3
EXC
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EXC
6 - 3
MAS
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |