VVOG vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HOE
4 - 0
VVO
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GVV
3 - 1
VVO
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VVO
2 - 1
STE
10%
18%
72%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +5 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VVS
1 - 1
VVO
86%
10%
5%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VVO
2 - 4
ACV
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 1
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
STE
0 - 0
EXC
52%
22%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 2
VVS
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |