VVOG vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
DVS
1 - 0
VVO
90%
8%
3%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
VVS
2 - 2
VVO
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VVO
4 - 2
BAR
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
VVO
1 - 1
LIS
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
VVO
0 - 2
AJA
23%
22%
56%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 4
UTR
5%
11%
85%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 3
DVS
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 3
HOE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GOE
0 - 4
EXC
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 2
TER
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |