VVOG vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VVO
1 - 1
APE
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DRA
0 - 0
VVO
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VVO
2 - 1
FLE
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
VVO
1 - 1
WHC
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DVS
0 - 2
VVO
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
DRA
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 1
BER
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
ORA
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WHC
1 - 1
BER
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BER
2 - 3
DET
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |