ZOB vs Nunspeet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
13º
8º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ZOB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 2
ZOB
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 0
HBO
54%
21%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
ZOB
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
3 - 0
ARG
59%
19%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZOB
3 - 1
FCD
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nunspeet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NUN
2 - 1
FCD
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ROD
3 - 1
NUN
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NUN
0 - 2
VVM
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 1
NUN
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NUN
2 - 1
NSC
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |