ZOB vs De Bilt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
13º
8º
33
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ZOB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ROD
0 - 2
ZOB
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 0
ZOB
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 0
VVM
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
ZOB
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
4 - 1
NSC
43%
22%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
De Bilt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCD
3 - 2
ARG
36%
22%
43%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCD
2 - 5
ROD
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VVM
0 - 4
FCD
33%
23%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 0
OLY
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NSC
0 - 1
FCD
72%
15%
12%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |