Winsum vs PKC .83 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FCB
3 - 3
WIN
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 4
DRA
38%
23%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 4
PEL
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIN
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WIN
6 - 2
ZMV
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
PKC .83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PKC
2 - 1
WHC
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LEE
1 - 0
PKC
42%
21%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 3
PKC
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PKC
0 - 5
ZMV
45%
21%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PKC
1 - 3
OLD
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |