Winsum vs Blauw Wit .34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
60.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
8º
6º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ONS
1 - 1
WIN
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
GOR
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 1
WIN
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HOO
1 - 0
WIN
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 0
VVG
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Blauw Wit .34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
3 - 1
VVG
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 3
BLA
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
FVC
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 2
BLA
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |