Assendelft vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assendelft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NUT
1 - 0
ASS
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 2
RKV
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PUR
3 - 0
FWO
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FWO
0 - 0
ZEE
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
FWO
1 - 0
WOE
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
HOO
3 - 2
FWO
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FWO
7 - 0
VVI
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |