Vulcano vs Zaramaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vulcano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ELP
1 - 1
VUL
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
VUL
4 - 2
ALE
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
VUL
3 - 1
IRU
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SLV
3 - 0
VUL
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
VUL
3 - 2
TAL
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 4
SLV
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 1
ZAR
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CDF
28%
25%
48%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LAK
1 - 2
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ZAR
0 - 2
CDV
23%
23%
53%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |