Vulcano vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
75%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vulcano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CFR
1 - 0
VUL
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VUL
2 - 4
ELP
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TOR
5 - 3
VUL
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VUL
1 - 3
CDA
35%
23%
43%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ADC
4 - 1
VUL
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 1
ZAR
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDS
1 - 1
ARI
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 0
CDF
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 1
ARI
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CFR
2 - 6
ARI
29%
23%
49%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |