Vulcano vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
75%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vulcano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
9 - 1
VUL
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VUL
0 - 5
LAU
9%
17%
75%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
VUL
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
IRU
9 - 0
VUL
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VUL
1 - 4
ARA
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AMU
1 - 0
IRU
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 3
AMU
10%
17%
74%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AMU
2 - 0
ZUI
79%
13%
7%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMU
1 - 0
ZAR
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CDS
0 - 0
AMU
15%
22%
64%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |