Vukovar '91 vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
POM
0 - 1
VUK
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VUK
2 - 1
VIN
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 1
VUK
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VUK
0 - 0
LUK
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 1
VUK
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SPL
2 - 0
HDR
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SUH
0 - 1
SPL
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SPL
3 - 0
IMO
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SPL
0 - 2
SLA
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MOS
0 - 3
SPL
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |