Vukovar '91 vs Podravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SLA
2 - 2
VUK
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VUK
0 - 2
MEI
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 0
VUK
39%
23%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VUK
1 - 0
BEL
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BJE
3 - 0
VUK
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Podravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POD
3 - 4
SLA
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
NKS
1 - 1
POD
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POD
1 - 2
ORI
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MLA
1 - 3
POD
30%
25%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POD
2 - 3
MZL
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |