Vukovar '91 vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
DZG
5 - 0
VUK
90%
8%
2%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
VUK
0 - 2
HKS
14%
23%
64%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
HDR
1 - 1
VUK
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
VUK
3 - 1
OSI
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
SLA
1 - 2
VUK
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
NKV
4 - 1
IST
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
RIJ
2 - 0
NKV
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
NKV
0 - 0
HNS
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
NKV
0 - 3
HNK
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
DZG
4 - 1
NKV
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |