Vukovar '91 vs NAŠK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NKL
1 - 1
VUK
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VUK
2 - 3
NMC
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
MLA
3 - 0
VUK
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
VUK
3 - 3
NKS
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOO
2 - 3
VUK
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAS
1 - 3
NKD
24%
26%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OTO
1 - 0
NAS
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NKL
1 - 0
NAS
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 2
NMC
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MLA
4 - 3
NAS
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |