Vukovar '91 vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
3º
1º
46
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ZRI
0 - 6
VUK
13%
25%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
VUK
3 - 0
NKD
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
NKJ
0 - 0
VUK
22%
26%
52%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VUK
2 - 0
BIJ
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RUD
0 - 1
VUK
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HNK
0 - 2
OPA
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
NKR
1 - 2
HNK
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HNK
1 - 2
DUB
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ORI
2 - 2
HNK
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
HNK
0 - 0
ZMI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |