Vukovar '91 vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
2º
54
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 5
VUK
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VUK
1 - 1
DUB
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 1
HDR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BIJ
2 - 1
VUK
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 2
ORI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
SOL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DUB
2 - 0
HNK
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 0
NKD
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 2
HNK
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |