Vukovar '91 vs Graficar Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
HNK
1 - 0
VUK
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
VUK
2 - 0
NKS
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SLA
0 - 0
VUK
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CAK
2 - 1
VUK
42%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VUK
3 - 0
MOS
61%
21%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Graficar Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
GOS
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GOS
0 - 2
HNK
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
NKS
3 - 1
GOS
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SLA
3 - 1
GOS
54%
22%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
GOS
0 - 2
CAK
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |