VUC vs ROAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VUC
2 - 0
FCB
41%
21%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RKS
2 - 2
VUC
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
DEL
0 - 0
VUC
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VUC
0 - 2
SVD
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 1
VUC
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ROAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOG
6 - 0
ROA
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ROA
0 - 1
VLI
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
2 - 1
ROA
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ROA
0 - 3
RKS
25%
20%
54%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 1
ROA
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |