VUC vs Pancratius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
VUC
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VUC
0 - 1
NIE
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 0
VUC
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VUC
1 - 1
SCN
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VUC
0 - 0
GDA
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 1
PAP
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SJC
3 - 0
PAN
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 0
HVV
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UVS
1 - 1
PAN
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
PAN
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |