VTM FC vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VTM FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HGH
1 - 3
VTM
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VTM
0 - 1
GAL
12%
15%
73%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
VTM
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
VTM
2 - 2
TAF
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
VTM
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
ORA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GAB
0 - 0
BOT
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
GAB
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 2
HGH
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 2
TOW
40%
27%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |