Völkermarkt vs St. Jakob analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
2º
22
5º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
51.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Völkermarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VOL
0 - 2
TRE
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
VOL
4 - 1
STA
69%
17%
15%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VOL
10 - 1
ASM
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DIG
4 - 3
VOL
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KLA
1 - 3
VOL
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
St. Jakob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SVJ
0 - 4
LEN
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DON
1 - 1
SVJ
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SVJ
2 - 1
BLE
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KMD
1 - 1
SVJ
44%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVJ
2 - 1
AUK
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |