Vrbovec vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrbovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VRA
2 - 1
VRB
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
VRB
1 - 3
TRN
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
KAR
1 - 0
VRB
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DUG
4 - 0
VRB
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
VRB
2 - 3
LUK
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NKJ
4 - 0
MAK
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
HAS
0 - 4
NKJ
15%
18%
68%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
NKJ
2 - 2
NGM
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VRA
1 - 4
NKJ
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NKJ
1 - 0
TRN
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |