Vrbovec vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrbovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
OPA
1 - 0
VRB
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ROV
4 - 2
VRB
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VRB
1 - 1
DUG
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
NEH
1 - 0
VRB
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
VRB
1 - 1
ORI
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
JAP
0 - 0
DUG
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NEH
0 - 0
JAP
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 1
ORI
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
VRA
0 - 0
JAP
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 0
NKZ
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |