Vrapče vs Zagorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAK
1 - 0
VRA
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 3
VRA
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DUB
2 - 3
VRA
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VRA
5 - 1
OPA
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
STU
2 - 0
VRA
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ZAG
0 - 1
DUB
40%
25%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
OPA
2 - 1
ZAG
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
STU
0 - 1
ZAG
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ZAG
1 - 3
KRK
25%
25%
49%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
JAP
3 - 0
ZAG
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |