Vrapče vs Samobor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
NGM
0 - 2
VRA
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VRA
0 - 0
TRE
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SBD
3 - 1
VRA
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VRA
2 - 1
MAK
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
LEK
0 - 3
VRA
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Samobor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
NUK
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 0
NGM
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 1
SAM
30%
24%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 0
SBD
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
MAK
1 - 0
SAM
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |