Vrapče vs Gaj Mače analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
3º
42
6º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
VRA
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VRA
2 - 2
SAM
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 1
VRA
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VRA
2 - 2
NTR
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 1
VRA
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gaj Mače
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NGM
1 - 2
STR
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
NGM
1 - 0
LKV
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NUK
2 - 1
NGM
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
NGM
2 - 3
PON
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 0
NGM
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |