Vrapče vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
OPA
3 - 0
VRA
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VRA
2 - 0
VRB
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DUG
0 - 2
VRA
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
VRA
2 - 0
NEH
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
VRA
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 0
NKZ
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SEG
1 - 0
JAP
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
JAP
4 - 1
KRK
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
JAP
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 0
NKR
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |