VPS II vs Jaro II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.3%
1.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TP4
3 - 1
VPS
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VPS
3 - 1
TP4
18%
18%
65%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NYK
0 - 5
VPS
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
VPS
3 - 2
SPO
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
NFF
0 - 3
VPS
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Jaro II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 3
SPO
4%
9%
87%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |