VPS Vaasa vs SJK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
38
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 2
VAA
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
4 - 1
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
OUL
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 2
VAA
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 1
VAA
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SJK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 2
HJK
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 2
SEI
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 1
SEI
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 0
HON
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
SEI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |