VPS Vaasa vs FC KTP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
7º
6º
14
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 40 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 28 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 21 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
55.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
44.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
FFJ
2 - 2
VAA
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
1 - 1
KUO
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
ILV
3 - 2
VAA
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
0 - 2
HJK
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
1 - 2
HAK
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HAK
2 - 3
KOO
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
KOO
2 - 2
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
OUL
3 - 2
KOO
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
KOO
0 - 0
GNI
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
ILV
2 - 1
KOO
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |