VPS Vaasa vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
6º
3º
54
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
54 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
56 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SEI
1 - 4
VAA
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 1
HJK
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 1
VAA
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
HJK
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 0
VAA
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HJK
0 - 1
ILV
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 0
KUO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
HAK
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GNI
1 - 1
ILV
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
EKE
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |