VPS Vaasa vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
20
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
VAA
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
SJK
0 - 11
VAA
4%
9%
87%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 1
VAA
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
VAA
2 - 1
IFK
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 0
HON
30%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
HJK
23%
27%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
NOK
1 - 5
ILV
9%
15%
76%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 0
ILV
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
OUL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 0
KOO
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |