VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
2º
1º
53
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
49 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
53 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VAA
1 - 1
INT
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
VAA
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
VAA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
VAA
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VAA
2 - 1
KOO
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HJK
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SEI
2 - 3
HJK
25%
27%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 3
PAO
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 0
INT
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |