VPS Vaasa vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
6º
19
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 2
VAA
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 2
GNI
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 1
SEI
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAK
1 - 2
VAA
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
VAA
5 - 1
FFJ
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
KUO
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
HAK
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
HJK
4 - 0
FCL
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ILV
0 - 0
FCL
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
GNI
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |