Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-3
VPS Vaasa vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VAA
3 - 2
INT
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
BIF
2 - 0
VAA
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
VAA
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
VAA
0 - 0
IFK
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
VAA
1 - 0
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BIF
4 - 0
MID
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
BIF
2 - 0
VAA
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BIF
0 - 1
FCR
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BIF
5 - 1
QAR
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
NAE
1 - 2
BIF
17%
21%
63%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |