Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 2-6
VPS Vaasa vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
VAA
0 - 2
HIF
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
SEI
3 - 2
VAA
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
VAA
2 - 0
FCL
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
KUO
0 - 0
VAA
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
VAA
3 - 0
INT
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
FCN
1 - 1
AIK
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
HÄC
0 - 0
AIK
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
AIK
4 - 3
FAL
62%
22%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
AIK
3 - 1
HEL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
DJU
2 - 2
AIK
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |