Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs TuRa Harksheide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.3%
11.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
14º
8º
35
6º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NIE
1 - 2
VOW
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
1 - 2
HEB
58%
19%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
VOW
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
2 - 4
WIL
70%
15%
15%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
9 - 1
VOW
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
THA
3 - 1
ATB
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
THA
2 - 4
VHG
18%
19%
64%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NIE
4 - 1
THA
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 3
HEB
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 1
THA
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |