Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs TSV Buchholz 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
14º
8º
46
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VOW
2 - 1
VHG
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 4
VOW
27%
20%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
1 - 3
THA
75%
13%
12%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NIE
1 - 2
VOW
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
1 - 2
HEB
58%
19%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
ATB
74%
14%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
BUC
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 5
NIE
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 2
BUC
45%
21%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALT
18%
22%
61%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |